Publish Date: 10/09/2021
Fact checked by: Josh Schwartz
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As the MLB season takes the final lap, it's the best time to place MLB bets. We've had a look at how teams have been playing, and up next is our tip for the week.
Two National League teams outside the playoff picture will continue their four-match series on Sunday at 1:05 pm EST in the City of Brotherly love. The Rockies are already on the road, and this will be the last fixture of the series against the Phillies.
The Phillies are slightly above the Rockies in the NL, sitting at position eight with a pct of 0.507. On the other hand, the Rockies are at position 11 (NL) with a pct of 0.454. Throughout the season, the Phillies have 71W and 69L, while the Rockies have 64W and 74L.
The Phillies have experienced a tough week, culminating in the most recent 3 - 4 loss to the Phillies.
In the last ten games, the team has managed to secure five wins. Six of those games have ended over 9. Besides, three (of the five) wins were by a margin of two or more runs. As for the losses, two (of the five) were by a margin of two or more runs.
Like the Phillies, the Rockies' most recent form could be worrying the fans. The team was on a four-game losing streak before winning the opening fixture against the Rockies.
Looking at their performance in the last ten games, the Rockies have only won four times. Seven of those games ended over 9. Only one win was by a margin of two (or more) runs. As for the losses, four (of the six) ended by a margin of two or more runs.
Since 2019, these teams have met eleven times. The Rockies have managed to win six times. Four of those fixtures ended over 9. Three of those wins were by a margin of two or more runs. Also, three (of the five losses) were by a margin of two or more runs.
If we compare the stats of these two teams, we can see that they display almost similar performances. For example, if we look at the H2H stats (since 2019), the Rockies have won six times while the Phillies have won five times.
Also, looking at each team's ten most recent fixtures, the Rockies have won four times while the Phillies have won five times. In terms of individual game stats, these teams are not high-scoring.
The Phillies are currently dealing with a couple of injuries that have taken a toll. However, they've consistently shown that they can display great performance at home, even under intense pressure. Besides, they know these types of games are critical for the postseason.
On the other hand, the Rockies have been fantastic on the road, and they have remained like this for several years. It's going to be a tough one. But we'll go for the Phillies in this one.
When it comes to putting runs, the Rockies have been performing poorly as the visiting team. They rank lowest in the majors, with an average of 3.29 runs when visiting. As for the Phillies, they are 20th with an average of 4.36 runs per game at home. Therefore, if you want to take a little more risk, you can add Under 9 to your bet slip.
There are a couple of reasons why we decided to tip the Phillies for a win and under 9 for the totals:
That said, we compared odds from several top baseball betting providers and settled on BetMGM as the site with the best odds for this game. The site provides odds of -145 for a Phillies win and -110 for under 9 (totals). If you combine these odds, it translates to 223.