Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | 2021-09-26 | 1:05 PM EST

Baseball Betting Tips · 26/09/2021 - 1:05 pm · Citizens Bank Park

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With just a week to October, the MLB playoffs are approaching quickly. However, there's a lot to be decided during these final days of the season. We have analyzed how teams have been playing and their H2H stats to prepare the weekly MLB tip. Keep scrolling to find it!

Home Win 1
Best Odd
71.4%
-250
Draw X
Best Odd
0%
N/A
Away Win 2
Best Odd
33.9%
+195

Our tip today will be based around the Pirates and the Phillies. The two teams are on a four-match series that will end on Sunday, 26/09/2021. The fixtures are taking place at the Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, home to the Phillies. The Phillies are second in the NL East table with a pct of 0.516. On the other hand, the Pirates are at the bottom of the NL Central table with a pct of 0.375. Generally, the Phillies are 79 - 74 while the Pirates are 57 - 95 at the Moment.

The current status

Five wins in ten games for the Pirates

The Pirates have been average in the last few days. The team has managed to secure wins in five of the previous ten games. Six of the team's last ten games also ended over 8.5. The team has an average of 3.71 runs/game. It also has a batting average of 0.235, which is ranked 24th in the MLB. In addition, the team has an on-base percentage of 0.307 (23rd) and a slugging percentage of 0.363 (30th).

The team's pitching is ranked among the lowest in the MLB. The team's opponents have a batting average of 0.258 (27th) against the Pirates. In addition, the Pirates have a WHIP of 1.48 (28th) and an ERA of 5.02 (28th).

The Phillies vs. The Pirates H2H

Since February 2019, the Phillies and the Pirates have clashed 19 times, with the Phillies winning 12 times. Out of these 19 times, nine games ended over 8.5. Also, 13 of the fixtures ended with either team winning/losing by two or more runs.

Tip:
Phillies to win & over 9
Best Odd
+162
Max. Bonus
$1000
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Statistical highlights

The Pirates are currently 57 - 95 while the Phillies are 79 - 74. The Phillies are 45 - 33 at home, while the Pirates are 23 - 54 on the run (away).

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
23/09/2021
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia | The Phillies: 12 vs. The Pirates: 6 | MLB
01/08/2021
PNC Park, Pittsburgh | The Pirates: 4 vs. The Phillies: 15 | MLB
31/07/2021
PNC Park, Pittsburgh | The Pirates: 3 vs. The Phillies: 2 | MLB
30/07/2021
PNC Park, Pittsburgh | The Pirates: 7 vs. The Phillies: 0 | MLB
14/03/2021
PNC Park, Pittsburgh | The Pirates: 5 vs. The Phillies: 6 | MLB
Highlight #1
Since Feb 2019, these teams have clashed 19 times, with the Phillies winning 12 times
Highlight #2
Nine of the last 19 H2H fixtures have ended over 8.5
Highlight #3
13 of the previous 19 H2H fixtures have ended with either team winning/losing by two or more runs

Our Betting Tip for Today

The Phillies have been doing great at home, as seen by their 45 - 33 record. They've won their last three fixtures, and their pitchers are doing fantastic. The Phillies are also outstanding offensively, scoring 19 runs in the previous three games. They're also against a team that has conceded 29 runs in the last four games, meaning they won't struggle to score; hence we'll tip the Phillies to win this fixture.

The pirates have an average of 3.7 runs/game. On the other hand, the Phillies have conceded an average of 4.5 runs at home. They also score an average of 4.6 runs/game. This means that this is likely to be a high-scoring fixture. Therefore, you can add over 9 to add a little risk to your bet.

Our choice: The Phillies to Win & over 9

There are several reasons why we've tipped the Phillies to win and over 9 runs.

  • The Phillies have won 12 of the last 19 H2H fixtures (since Feb 2019).
  • The Phillies are on a three-game winning streak.
  • Six of the Pirate's previous ten games have ended over 8.5.
  • The Phillies have scored an average of 6.33 runs in the last three fixtures.

We compared several operators that were offering odds for this fixture and settled on BetMGM. The site offers odds of -250 for a Phillies win and -115 for over 9. This translates to +162 if you combine the two.

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BetMGM Sport
Tip: Phillies to win & over 9
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