Padres vs. Astros | 2021-09-05 | 4:10 PM EST

Baseball Betting Tips · 05/09/2021 - 4:10 pm · Petco Park

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Coming back to our focus of the day, there has been a lot happening in the MLB as teams struggle to find a spot in the playoffs. This makes it the perfect time to place MLB wagers. Up next is our MLB tip for the week!

Home Win 1
Best Odd
44.4%
+125
Draw X
Best Odd
0%
N/A
Away Win 2
Best Odd
60.6%
-154

We’ll be looking at two teams that have displayed performances that are worlds apart this season, the Astros vs. the Padres. The Padres will host the Astros at the Petco Park in San Diego, starting at 4:10 pm EST.

The Astros have been impressive this season which has left them at position five in the MLB table. They have a pct of 0.586. On the other hand, the Padres are at position six in the NL and 13 in the MLB. So far, the Astros have won 78 and lost 55 fixtures, while the Padres have won 71 and lost 63 matches.

The current status

Four wins in the last 10 matches for the Padres

The Padres will be aiming to keep their playoff hopes alive after a recent slide in the NL standings. The team is 14 games behind the leader in NL west. It has managed to secure only four wins in the last ten games.

In these ten games, four ended over 9. Also, two of the four wins were by a margin of three or more runs. In addition, in two of the five losses, the Padres lost by a margin of three or more runs.

The Astros going into this fixture after suffering two consecutive losses

The Astros have arguably been one of the best teams in the MLB this season. They lead in the AL East by six games over the Athletics, and they look set to secure a spot in the playoffs.

In the last ten games, they’ve won five times. Only two of these games ended over 9. Also, two of the five wins were by a margin of three or more runs. In addition, four of the five losses were by a margin of three or more runs.

The Padres vs. The Astros H2H

Since March 2016, these teams have met 11 times, with the Astros winning four times. Six of these games ended over 9. Also, in eight of these games, one team won/lost by three or more runs.

Tip:
Astros win -1.5
Best Odd
+238
Max. Bonus
$1000
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Statistical highlights

Let’s now highlight some key stats that these teams have displayed this season. Both teams have not been that consistent in the last ten fixtures, with the Padres winning four out of 10 games and the Astros five out of ten games.

In the H2H stats, the Padres have won more times (eight) in their last 11 games (since 2016). As we had already stated, six of these fixtures ended over 9.

San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros
30/05/2021
Minute Maid Park | Astros: 7 vs. Padres: 4 |MLB
29/05/2021
Minute Maid Park | Astros: 8 vs. Padres: 11 |MLB
28/05/2021
Minute Maid Park | Astros: 3 vs. Padres: 10 |MLB
23/08/2020
Petco Park | Padres: 5 vs. Astros: 3| MLB
22/08/2020
Petco Park | Padres: 13 vs. Astros: 2| MLB
Highlight #1
Six of the last 11 H2H fixtures (since 2016) have ended over 9
Highlight #2
The Astros won 7 - 4 the last time these teams met
Highlight #3
The Padres have won seven of the last 11 clashes between these teams

Our Betting Tip for Today

We are in the final lap of the regular MLB season, and the Astros have everything to gain from this fixture. Besides, they’re facing an already struggling Padres team; hence we’ll tip them for a win in this fixture.

Now, you suppose you want to add a little more risk to your bet. You could add -1.5 to your bet.

Our choice: Astros to win -1.5

There are two main reasons why we tipped the Astros to win and a -1.5 spread.

  • The Astros have won more games (5) than the Padres (4) in their last ten games. They have also displayed better and consistent performance throughout the season.
  • In the last ten games, three of the Astros' wins have been by a margin of two or more runs.

We searched online for an operator offering the best odds for this fixture and decided to go with BetMGM. An Astros win has odds of -154 while -1.5 (Run Spread) has odds of 105.

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BetMGM Sport
Tip: Astros win -1.5
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