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US Gambling Sites / Betting Tips / Nationals vs. Mets | 2021-09-05 | 7:10 PM EST

Nationals vs. Mets | 2021-09-05 | 7:10 PM EST

Baseball Betting Tips · 05/09/2021 - 7:10 pm · Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Publish Date: 03/09/2021
Fact checked by: Josh Schwartz

Welcome back! At CaptainGambling, we're always committed to providing the best reviews, tips, and guides to ensure you get the best online gambling experience. 

We are almost in the last quarter of the MLB season, and things are beginning to heat up. And as an MLB betting fanatic, there's no better time to place MLB bets than this. Our team of MLB tipsters has been analyzing these teams' current and previous performances to create the MLB tip, which you'll find below. Keep scrolling for more!

Tip:
Away win + under 9
Odd:
+222
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Home Win 1
Best Odd
44.4%
+125
Draw X
Best Odd
0%
N/A
Away Win 2
Best Odd
60.6%
-154

Today's tip will be based on two teams whose rivalry dates back to 2005 when they first clashed - the Mets vs. the Nationals. This match will take place at the Nationals Park in Washington, D.C, at 7:10 pm EST.

The Mets have been the better team, as shown by their position on the MLB table. They currently stand at position 18 with a winning percentage (pct) of 0.496. As for the Nationals, they've been struggling a lot this season. They remain at position 25 with a pct of 0.417. The Mets have won 66 fixtures and lost 67 fixtures so far this season. On the other hand, the Nationals have won 55 times and lost 77 times.

The current status

Washington NationalsThe Nationals have lost five games in a row

The Nationals have had a tough season so far, and their most recent form proves it all. They have gone forward to lose five games in a row since they won 2 - 1 against the Mets on 28 Aug.

If we go with the last ten games, they have only secured two wins. Six of these games have gone over 8.5. Also, five of these losses were by a margin of three or more runs. One (of the two wins) was by a margin of 3+ runs.

New York MetsThe Mets on a five game winning streak

The Mets may have been an average mid-table team this season, but their recent form is quite impressive. The team has gone unbeaten five games in a row since going on a four-game losing streak between 25 Aug and 28 Aug.

To sum up their performance in the last ten games, they've won six times and lost four times. Only three of these games ended over 8.5. As for the run spread, only two of the wins were by a margin of three or more runs, and only one loss was by a margin of two or more runs.

The Nationals vs. The Mets H2H

In 2021 alone, these teams have met 20 times, with the Nationals winning ten times. However, the Mets have won five of their last six meetings. Seven of these games (last 20 games) ended over 8.5. In addition, 14 ended with one team winning/losing by three or more runs.

Tip:
Away win + under 9
Best Odd
+222
Brand
BetMGM Sportsbook
Max. Bonus
$1000
Bet Now

Statistical highlights

Looking at the overall performance of these teams, we can see that the Mets have been the better team. Also, if we check their most recent performances, the Mets have won five matches in a row while the Nationals have lost five games in a row.

Their H2H stats tell a slightly different story. In the 20 fixtures that they clashed in 2020, each team has won ten times. However, the most recent H2H stats show the Mets as the better team (five wins in six matches).

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
29/08/2021
Citi Field | Mets : 9 vs. Nationals: 4 |MLB
28/08/2021
Citi Field | Mets : 5 vs. Nationals: 3 |MLB
27/08/2021
Citi Field | Mets : 1 vs. Nationals: 2 |MLB
12/08/2021
Citi Field | Mets: 5 vs. Nationals: 4| MLB
11/08/2021
Citi Field | Mets: 8 vs. Nationals: 7| MLB
Highlight #1
The Mets won 9 - 4 the last time these teams clashed
Highlight #2
Seven out of 10 of the most recent H2H fixtures have ended under 9
Highlight #3
The Mets have won five of the last six H2H clashes

Our Betting Tip for Today

The Mets have been the better team this season. Rich Hill, who is very experienced, will be pitching for the Mets, while Sean Nolin will be on the mound for the Nationals. It's less risky to place your money on Rich Hill over Sean Nolin.

Looking at their overall stats (H2H and other fixtures), these teams are not high scoring; hence we tip the game to end under 9. In addition, we tip the Mets to win.

New York MetsOur choice: Mets win & under 9

So what exactly made us tip the Mets to win with the total scores being under 9? Let's highlight some key factors:

  • Eight out of ten of the Mets' most recent fixtures have ended under 9.
  • Seven of the last 10 H2H fixtures between these teams have ended under 9.
  • The Mets have won five of their previous five fixtures, while the Nationals have lost five of their last five fixtures.
  • The Mets have won five of their last six H2H fixtures.

After comparing odds offered by various online sports betting providers, we settled on BetMGM as the best site to bet this fixture on. It provides odds of -154 for the Mets win and -105 for under 9. This will become 222 if you combine the bets.

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