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US Gambling Sites / Betting Tips / Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | 2021-10-03 | 3:10 pm EST

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | 2021-10-03 | 3:10 pm EST

Baseball Betting Tips · 03/10/2021 - 3:07 pm · Dodger Stadium

Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Publish Date: 02/10/2021
Fact checked by: Josh Schwartz

Welcome back to CaptainGambling, your number one destination for the best sports tips, guides, reviews, and much more.

As we approach the end of the regular MLB season, you can't think of a better time to place MLB wagers than now. Some teams such as the Giants, the Astros, and the Brewers have already secured a place in the postseason. As we wait for the postseason picture to become clearer, we've got this MLB tip for the weekend.

Dodgers win & Under 8.5
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Two teams from the National League that have already secured spots in the postseason will clash in the final series of the MLB regular season in the Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The Dodgers are second in the NL rankings with a record of 103 - 56 (pct of .648), while the Brewers are third with a 95 - 64 record (pct of .597).

The current status

LA DodgersThe Dodgers aiming for a NL West lead

The Dodgers have been very consistent in chasing the NL West lead, as shown by their four-game winning streak in the most recent games. They've been one of the best teams offensively this season.

They're top ten offensively, averaging 0.753 OPS this far. The team is also averaging 5.04 runs/game this season. The team has been excellent at hitting at home as they average 4.9 runs/game and have a team slashline of .241/.331/.451. They’re currently two games behind the Giants in the race for the top spot.

Looking at their last 10 games, the team has managed to win eight of them. Six of these games ended with over 8.5 runs (totals).

Milwaukee BrewersThe Brewers in preparation for the postseason

The Brewers have not been that good offensively, as can be seen by their .715 OPS. This year, the team has been scoring a decent number of runs as it's averaging 4.58 runs/game.

With nothing big to fight for & having already clinched the NL Central title, the Brewers' form has gone down slightly. Looking at the last ten games, the team has managed to win only four fixtures. In addition, only three of these games ended over 8.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers H2H

Since February 2020, these teams have clashed 11 times - the Brewers have secured wins six times. In addition, five of these games ended over 8.5. Also, seven of these games ended with one team winning by two or more runs.

Dodgers win & Under 8.5
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Statistical highlights

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 55 - 23 at home, while the Milwaukee Brewers are 50 - 28 while on the road. Six of the Dodgers last ten games and three of the Brewers last ten games have gone over 8.5. On the H2H stats, the Brewers have been more dominant, winning six of the previous 11 H2H fixtures (since Feb 2020).

LA Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Miller Park, Milwaukee | Brewers: 4 vs. Dodgers: 16 | MLB
Miller Park, Milwaukee | Brewers: 6 vs. Dodgers: 5 | MLB
Miller Park, Milwaukee | Brewers : 3 vs. Dodgers: 1 | MLB
Miller Park, Milwaukee | Brewers: 2 vs. Dodgers: 1 | MLB
Miller Park, Milwaukee | Brewers: 9 vs. Dodgers: 6 | MLB
Highlights #1
The Brewers have won six of the last 11 H2H clashes (since Feb 2020)
Highlights #2
Six of the previous 11 H2H fixtures have ended under 8.5
Highlights #3
Seven of the previous 11 H2H fixtures have ended with one team winning/losing by a margin of two or more runs

Our Betting Tip for Today

This is one fixture that will mean a lot to the Dodgers as they chase the NL west lead. The Dodgers have won their last four games, with the previous two fixtures against the Padres being by a margin of two & five runs, respectively. As the Dodgers try to catch up with the Giants, they'll give this game everything they’ve got.

On the other hand, the Brewers have struggled the last few days due to low motivation since they have nothing to gain from winning. The team will miss the services of Devin Williams in the postseason, which is a big blow. The Brewers will likely remain unmotivated for this fixture.

Therefore, we'll tip the Dodgers for a win.

Besides, both teams have had excellent pitchers, which means that they’ll find it hard to put runs. Therefore, if you want to spice up your bet, you can add under 8.5.

LA DodgersOur choice: Dodgers win & Under 8

There are several reasons why we've tipped the Dodgers to win and an under 8.

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers are on a four-game winning streak as they chase the Giants. They have won eight of their last ten games.
  • The Brewers have won only four of their ten most recent fixtures, and they've nothing to gain from winning this fixture.
  • Six of the last 11 H2H fixtures between these teams have gone under 8.5
  • Seven of the Brewers' last ten games have gone under 8.5.

We compared several baseball operators that were offering odds for this fixture and settled on BetMGM. The site offers odds of -222 for a Dodgers win and -115 for under 8. If you combine the bets, this will translate to 171.

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