Publish Date: 30/05/2021
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis
Baltimore Ravens make the trip to the Deep South on the first weekend of the NFL play-offs, travelling to face the Tennessee Titans. Both teams recorded 11-5 records in the regular season, so spectators should be expecting a close game. Much of the focus will be on Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson. The Titans have enjoyed two significant recent victories over the Ravens so many might expect them to win. Read on to see where we think the best betting value can be found.
Henry versus Jackson
For Tennessee, Derrick Henry has been immense in 2020. Henry is the main reason that the Titans were ranked third overall in the NFL for rushing heading into Week 17. They are also fourth in passing, sixth on first down, fifth on second down, third on third and fourth downs and second in goal-to-goal situations. That kind of strength on offense makes them very hard to deal with, especially if QB Ryan Tannehill also finds the kind of fine form of which is well capable to complement Henry’s power.
Baltimore has a strong running game of its own, though. The Ravens led the NFL for rushing heading into Week 17 of the season, averaging 177.8 rushing yards per game and 5.3 yards per rush. J K Dobbins has emerged as a key performer for the Ravens, The running back helped the Ravens rush for over 200 yards four times in their final five games, a tally that included 404 yards in their final game of the season – the 38-3 destruction of the Cincinnati Bengals. The strength of that running game helps to compensate for one of QB Lamar Jackson’s weaknesses. He struggles when he is forced to pass towards the sidelines. He has completed just 18 of 46 passes that are marked ‘left’ or ‘right’ and travel more than 10 yards in the air, according to Sports Info Solutions.
Our Pick: Titans by 1-6
Our tip for this game comes from 888Sport, which is offering odds of +295 on the Titans winning the game by a margin of one to six points. We think that Derrick Henry will have the kind of indomitable game that has made him such a lynchpin for Tennessee this season and catapult the Titans to a narrow win. The Ravens’ defense is strong, but we think that the Tannehill/Henry axis is stronger. The Titans will win, but it will be close.
Our pick: Titans by 1-6 @ +295 with 888Sport